Membership Revenue Calculator
Calculate membership MRR, churn impact, next-month member count, net monthly profit, break-even members, and annualized recurring revenue.
Membership revenue
Growth and churn
Membership economics
Model membership revenue, churn, and monthly profit in one place
Use this calculator for paid communities, creator memberships, private newsletters, Patreon-style offers, and other recurring subscriptions.
Membership businesses depend on both recurring revenue and retention. A growing member count can still hide weak economics if churn, platform fees, payment losses, and support costs are high.
The calculator combines current members, monthly price, member growth, churn, and operating costs to show both revenue and profit.
The annualized figures are run-rate estimates based on the current month. They do not model month-by-month compounding growth unless you run additional scenarios.
How membership revenue and profit are calculated
The calculator separates member growth from membership economics.
Calculate monthly recurring revenue
Current active members are multiplied by the monthly membership price.
Estimate churn and next-month members
Expected cancellations are calculated from monthly churn, then new members are added to estimate the next member count.
Subtract variable membership costs
Platform fees, payment costs, failed-payment or refund allowance, and per-member costs are deducted from revenue.
Subtract fixed costs and find break-even
Monthly fixed membership costs are deducted to show net profit, and contribution per member is used to calculate break-even member count.
Example membership revenue calculation
Suppose a creator runs a paid membership with these monthly economics:
Monthly recurring revenue is $10,000. Expected churn is 25 members, so adding 40 new members produces a net increase of 15 and a projected next-month member count of 515. Percentage-based costs are $1,000 and variable member costs are $750, leaving $8,250 before fixed costs. After $3,000 of fixed costs, net monthly membership profit is $5,250. Contribution per member is $16.50, so break-even is about 182 active members.
What each result means
Recurring revenue matters, but contribution per member and churn determine how durable the membership is.
Monthly recurring revenue
Gross recurring revenue generated by the current active member base before fees and operating costs.
Net monthly membership profit
Monthly recurring revenue after percentage fees, per-member costs, and monthly fixed membership costs.
Projected next-month members
Current members minus expected churn plus expected new members.
Contribution per member
Monthly price remaining after percentage-based fees and variable cost per member, before fixed membership costs.
Break-even member count
The number of active members needed for contribution to cover monthly fixed membership costs.
Membership revenue questions
Common questions creators have when modeling recurring membership businesses.
What is monthly recurring revenue?
Monthly recurring revenue is the recurring subscription revenue generated by active members before fees, refunds, and operating costs.
Why is churn important?
Churn determines how many members must be replaced just to maintain the current membership base. Higher churn increases the acquisition effort needed for growth.
Should failed payments be included with refunds?
Yes if you want a simple allowance for billed revenue that is not ultimately collected. Enter the expected average percentage of revenue lost.
What belongs in variable cost per member?
Include costs that increase with each active member, such as software seats, support, fulfillment, moderation, or member-specific benefits.
Is annualized recurring revenue the same as forecast annual revenue?
Not necessarily. It is the current monthly recurring revenue multiplied by twelve. Actual annual revenue will differ if member count, price, churn, or costs change.